We’re back!
It’s been a hectic few weeks trying to get some projects up and running. But we are now back. And we’re new and improved!
First, we have rebranded the publication to Tipping Point Profits!
Since we cover a myriad of assets, companies, industries, and markets hitting tipping points before taking off, it seemed apt.
Second, I’ll be introducing a new publishing weekly publishing schedule in the coming days.
Third, we kick off our return with a doozy! It’s a research essay that’s timely and in-depth… But perfect for the tipping point we have ahead in 2024.
So, let’s begin with…
The Panic Arrived on Time: Episode I
Let’s imagine that you know with a fair amount of certainty that an investment has the potential not to merely double… but triple… maybe even quadruple.
And that you won’t have to wait decades for this type of return.
The rocket higher requires merely months.
Now, let’s imagine that this investment is volatile. It’s prone to sharp declines; swift moves from peak to trough. And this bucking bronco-type of action is what keeps most investors from buying it.
They’re afraid.
How do I know? Because nearly 80% of American investors have never owned it… and some outright refuse to do so.
But their fear blinds them to the opportunity this volatility provides: Countless gifts to snag a piece of what will be a soaring asset at momentary, steep discounted prices.
Now, here’s craziest part … Imagine these collapses are predictable.
That they repeat in a pattern not only over years, but also over a course of 12 months.
Like clockwork, there are lows and highs struck at the same times again and again and again.
But here’s where it gets interesting…
Here’s where your mental mettle, your appetite for risk, and your ability to look beyond today’s trepidation to tomorrow’s triumph will be put to the test…
Imagine one of these moments of lows is upon us.
That fear is peaking.
And that over the next six months we’ll likely see three more period of panic.
But after that… the sky’s the limit.
A double…
A triple…
A quadruple?
Imagine that scenario.
Would you be buying at the lows? Would you be buying now as the volatility spikes?
Or, like the majority of American investors, would you let this opportunity pass you by?
Would you sit on the sidelines knowing full well that this investment had made others millionaires… not once… not twice… but every time these patterns repeated?
As you may have already deduced, this isn’t hypothetical.
This is a real scenario playing out in the markets this very moment.
And maybe you ignored 2012… 2016… and 2020.
But can you afford to ignore 2024?
The Code to Riches
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That’s where you’ll find $6.5 billion.
But there are rumors of a horde more than four times that size.
And all these riches sprouted from a single academic paper 15 years ago…
In the aftermath of the 2008 recession a shadowy figure published a white paper [MC1] that would change the world.
It detailed a peer-to-peer online payment system that removed central banks and governments from the equation. It described a form of electronic cash that enabled citizens to have trusted commerce between themselves without a third-party financial institution.
Now, whether the paper’s author, Satoshi Nakamoto, was an individual or a consortium is no longer of concern.
What matters is what was born from this blandly titled white paper – Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. It flipped the bird to global financial markets as it flipped them on their heads at the same time.
In 2009, Bitcoin was created and launched.
It was the first of what would eventually be thousands of cryptocurrencies to follow.
But there was no fanfare or parades. No celebrations or media coverage.
For years, few took it seriously.
Its prices wavered around fractions of a penny. Seen as merely monetary gamification mined by nerds in dorm rooms or their parent’s basements.
But in 2011, the price of Bitcoin hit a major milestone – it become worth more than $1. And then the first of several key events took place that sent its value rocketing higher.
Keep in mind though… these events were designed to take place. And there are more coming. They’re predictable… on a schedule that’s publicly available.
This artificial inflation is why a decade after Bitcoin crossed the $1 threshold the entire cryptocurrency universe surged to top $3 trillion.
And more than 32,000 individuals have become millionaires – some even billionaires - from Bitcoin and its fellow crypto offshoots.
Legend has it that even Satoshi Nakamoto is sitting on 1 million Bitcoin.
Today, the world’s first and largest cryptocurrency is trading for roughly $26,000.
That means, if true, Satoshi Nakamoto – the lone wolf or the pack of revolutionaries – has a stockpile of $26.5 billion. That’s more than four times the known largest holder. And represents more than 5% of all Bitcoin mined.
Cryptocurrencies are once again in the headlines. And as is often the case in this part of the repeating cycle, not in a good way.
Bitcoin is down nearly 60% from its all-time high back in November 2021.
And the crypto deniers are celebrating its collapse as they wag a finger at the fools “who fell for the hype.”
But what they don’t understand is that they’re wrong.
And I’m here to stress this pullback – or the ones coming – shouldn’t be filled with panic… But be seen as the potential opportunity they are.
Because what most investors are missing is, like clockwork, the bad news arrived right on time… And understanding the cycles that are ahead will allow us to profit from the tipping on the horizon.
To be continued tomorrow in Episode II…
No panic at this disco,
Matthew
Before you go rushing off to do all those things that make you great, do me a favor … Don’t worry, I’m not asking for money. But if you like what you read here, give me a like, comment or share this article with a friend. If you didn’t enjoy what you’ve read, tell me why. I’m not promising you won’t hurt my feelings, but I’m open to suggestions for improving content!
© 2023 Matthew Carr
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This market commentary is opinion and for entertainment purposes only. The views and insights shared by the author are based on his many years of experience covering the markets. But they are subject to change without notice and opinions may become outdated. And there is no obligation by the author to update any information if these opinions become outdated. The information provided is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. But the author cannot guarantee its accuracy. Nothing in this email should be considered personalized investment advice. Investments should be made after consulting your financial advisor and after reviewing the financial statements of the company or companies in question.
Super happy to read your words Matt. I too am an Oxford club member and felt the void in literature brain power when you left. Glad to follow you again!
My favorite analyst at the Oxford Club. Glad to see Tipping Point Profits.